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気候変動に向かう資本が、いま本当に議論していること——ミュンヘンの12の問い

9月24日、ミュンヘン。12のテーブルが、それぞれ一つの問いを持ちます。問いは事前に公開されています。並べて読むと、資本がどこで止まっているかの地図になります。

Oktoberfest in Munich at golden hour: a dense crowd in Tracht walking between fair rides and tent facades, with the twin towers of a church on the skyline behind

Most events publish a programme. A list of names, a list of titles, and a promise that the conversation will be excellent.

Tech for Climate at Oktoberfest publishes the questions instead. Twelve tables run at once on the afternoon of 24 September in Munich, each led by a peer and carrying a single question, and every question sits on the event page before anyone arrives.

Here they are.

The twelve

From interested to allocated. What actually makes private capital move into impact, and what quietly stops it?

Built in Europe, scaled with Japan. Japan’s corporates have to decarbonize. Europe’s startups have the technology. Why are so few of them building together, and what makes it work when they do?

From carbon and nature claims to investable climate assets. Carbon markets, biodiversity outcomes and regenerative agriculture keep being framed as investable. What does it take to make one financeable at scale?

Who pays to rebuild an industry? Mobility has to re-tool while its margins are under pressure. Who finances that, and what does it mean for everyone selling into it?

Who can actually decarbonize a city? If government cannot mandate the transition, who has the power to make it happen?

One deal on the table. Each fund walks through one real deal: how it was found, why this one, what impact it was backed to deliver, and what would have stopped it.

Built in Europe, backed by Japan. What does it take for a Japanese corporate to make its first commitment to a European fund, and what does the fund have to offer in return?

What actually worked. Climate portfolios, ten years in: what has paid, and what quietly hasn’t?

Where the big rounds come from. The technology works, and the next round has to pay for hardware and plants, not headcount. Where does that capital come from in Europe, and what does a company have to show to get it?

Who buys these companies? Exits for climate deep tech: which industrials are actually shopping, and what makes a company buyable?

From pilot to purchase order. Corporates run many pilots and sign few purchase orders. What gets a climate startup from the innovation budget to a business unit’s budget, and who decides?

When sustainability pays. Take away the reporting requirement. Where has sustainability already won customers, cut costs or protected revenue?

First cheques, and money already spent

Four of the twelve are about somebody’s first cheque, not their tenth. First allocation into impact. A Japanese corporate’s first commitment to a European fund. The first purchase order after the pilot. The first industrial buyer. The sector has many people who are interested and far fewer who have moved.

Three are about money that has already gone out the door. One deal walked through honestly. Ten-year portfolios, including what has not paid. Sustainability that earned its keep with the reporting requirement removed. These only work in a room where nobody is selling, which is why they are rarely asked on a stage.

Two are about Japan, in both directions. Japanese corporates have binding decarbonisation obligations and capital to deploy. European deep tech has technology and a funding gap above the seed round. Each side has what the other needs, and they meet rarely.

One question deletes the regulation before it starts. Almost every conversation in this field for three years has begun from a disclosure obligation. When sustainability pays takes it away and asks what is left, which is the question that decides where capital goes in 2027.

No stage, no panel

There is no stage in the tent and there is no panel. Peers lead the twelve tables. A guest picks a table on arrival rather than in advance, and a steward seats anyone who comes late.

Munich holds Oktoberfest, PE Insights and Bits & Pretzels in the same week. The house rules for this afternoon say guests are not there to be pitched, and we hold people to that.

The afternoon runs from eleven to five. Nobody is expected to stay for all of it. Two things are anchored to a clock so a guest can plan around them, and the rest of the time is open.

The Chatham House hour

The twelve tables run in a private hour, under the Chatham House rule. Nothing is written up and nothing is read out afterwards. The music in the tent stops for the whole hour, so the quietest voice at a table is still one you can hear.

A published question lets someone decide in advance whether a table is worth their afternoon. The rule is why people say something true once they sit down. An investor will tell you what did not work in their portfolio. They will not tell a microphone.

Around that hour, the day does what an Oktoberfest afternoon does. The tent opens at eleven with lunch and a band. Three fireside chats run later, two chairs and two microphones each, no moderator and no slides: one on Japan and sustainability, one on whether Europe can build a fusion plant, one on what moves private capital from intention to allocation. Between them the music comes back up.

The three firesides

The firesides carry published questions too.

The first is on Japan and sustainability. Japan has made sustainability binding for its industry, and its corporates are deciding now what to build, buy and partner on at scale, across energy and materials and the networks and data centres that carry the load. The question is what it takes for a European technology to actually get adopted there.

The second asks whether Europe can build a sun. Fusion, capital, and the race to a first power plant: who funds the attempt, and on what evidence.

The third asks what moves private capital from intention to allocation, and what quietly stops it. That is the same question the first table of the private hour takes, asked this time in front of the whole tent.

The practical part

Tech for Climate at Oktoberfest is on Thursday 24 September 2026, in the Metzger Stubn tent in Munich, from 11:00 to 17:00. It is co-hosted by Tech for Impact and UnternehmerTUM, the centre for innovation and business creation at the Technical University of Munich, under the auspices of the Consulate-General of Japan in Munich.

The room is built around the capital side: family offices, funds of funds, private investors and corporates, with a strong Japanese corporate presence, and a small hand-picked group of VCs and founders. It is by invitation, and the guest list is read by hand.

If one of the twelve is the question you have been arguing about internally, that is the reason to come. You can request an invitation and tell us which table you would want.

For Tokyo, the Tech for Impact Summit is on 18 and 19 May 2027, co-hosted by the United Nations University, and the waitlist is open.

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